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Dates of Failure Format

Example of a Dates of Failure Warranty Analysis

A manufacturer sold two versions of a product. In addition, a new version is planned for future release. The objective is to analyze the data for all versions and provide a return forecast for the next 20 months.

The following data sheet shows the sales data.

The following data sheet shows the returns data.

The future shipments are expected to be as follows.

Note: Because the unit of time in the dates of failure format is in days, the parameters that are assigned to a data set must also be in terms of days.

Click OK. The results show that for Design A, the parameters are: log-mean = 8.4243 and log-std = 2.2987; for Design B, the parameters are: log-mean = 10.0772 and log-std = 2.2973.

On the control panel of the Forecast sheet, select the Show Subset ID check box. The following figure shows the Forecast sheet with the first 4 months of expected product returns. The first row of the Forecast sheet tells us that 200 units of Design A were sold on 1/1/2010 and that 1 of those sold units is expected to fail between February 1, 2011 (the day after the End of Observation Period date) and March 1, 2011.

 

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